Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010

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Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010
← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
  Phil Hare, official 110th CPD photo portrait.jpg BobbySchilling.jpg
Candidate Phil Hare Bobby Schilling Roger K. Davis
Party Democratic Republican Green
Popular vote 85,454 104,583 8,861
Percentage 42.96 52.58 4.46
330px
Representative before election

Phil Hare
Democratic

 Elected Representative

Bobby Schilling
Republican

Illinois's 17th congressional district election, 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to determine who would represent Illinois's 17th District in the 112th United States Congress. The seat contested was located in western and parts of central Illinois. Democratic incumbent Phil Hare had held the seat since 2006 and was running for re-election. The Republican nominee was Bobby Schilling. The Green Party nominee was Roger K. Davis.[1]

Schilling won the election in an upset with 53% of the vote.[2]

Race

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See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois, 2010 § District 17

Background

Hare was elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote and was unopposed in United States elections, 2008. Schilling is a restaurateur and owns Saint Giuseppe's Heavenly Pizza in East Moline, Illinois, which he started in 1997. Both were unopposed in their respective primaries.[3]

Once thought to be safe by political analysts, Hare's seat was in trouble in the summer of 2010 as Schilling made his challenge.[4] The New York Times's final rating was "Tossup",[5] as was that of CQ Politics.[6] RealClearPolitics's final rating was "Leans Democrat".[7] FiveThirtyEight gave Schilling a 63% chance of winning.[5] Politico rated it #5 on its list of "hottest House races in the country".[8]

Though both were unopposed in their respective primaries, primary elections were still held as voters went to the polls to vote in other races. Out of 64,141 total votes cast in each party for the February 2nd Illinois primary, Hare took 32,496 votes (50.66%) to Schilling's 31,645 (49.34%).[1][9] "After the results of yesterday’s election, one thing is clear: voters are ready for a clean break from the failed ideas of the past," Schilling said after the primary. "Voter turnout shows that my Democrat opponent and I nearly had identical votes." Because of the close results, National Review said the race is "worth keeping an eye on."[10]

General election campaign

National organizations were heavily involved in the race, with the National Republican Congressional Committee injecting $350,000 into the race and the conservative American Future Fund buying $500,000 worth of ads in the district, both on behalf of Schilling.[11] The Republican National Committee funded the opening of a "Victory Center" similar to that used for the campaign of Sen. Scott Brown in 2010.[12] On Hare's side, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $90,000 worth of airtime and SEIU bought $317,000 for similar commercials alleging Schilling wants to send jobs overseas, which the Schilling campaign denies.[11][13]

Schilling's campaign outraised Hare's by $51,000 in Q3 2010 and had more cash on hand than Hare as of September 30.[14][15][16]

All three candidates participated in one televised debate on October 26, which covered topics ranging from social security, taxes, and job creation to abortion and stem cell research.[17]

Endorsements

Schilling received the endorsements of the Illinois Federation for the Right to Life PAC,[18] the Republican National Coalition for Life PAC,[19] the Quincy Tea Party,[20] Congressman Aaron Schock,[21] Congressman John Shimkus, Sgt. John F. Baker, Jr., recipient of the Medal of Honor,[22] Rep. Michele Bachmann,[23] CatholicVote PAC,[24] former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney,[25] John Deere PAC,[26] the Chicago Tribune,[27] and the United States Chamber of Commerce.[28]

Hare was endorsed by the Sierra Club[29] and Veterans of Foreign Wars.[27]

Fundraising

Figures are final as of December 31, 2010.

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Phil Hare (D) $1,364,578 $1,759,078 $1,837 $11,487
Bobby Schilling (R) $1,127,490 $1,117,731 $9,759 $54,039
Roger K. Davis (D) $0 $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[16]

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Phil Hare (D) Bobby Schilling (R) Roger K. Davis (G) Undecided
The Hill[30] October 12–14, 2010 38% 45% - 14%
NRCC internal poll via Washington Post[31] Unavailable 41% 44% Unavailable Unavailable
Public Opinion Strategies[32] September 26–27, 2010 38% 37% -- --
Tarrance Group via National Journal[33] September 23–25, 2010 43% 44% -- --
We Ask America[34] September 8, 2010 38% 41% -- 17%
Magellan Strategies via NRO[35] July 12, 2010 32% 45% -- 23%
Public Opinion Strategies via NRO[36] Unavailable 33% 31% 7% 30%
We Ask America[37] February 18, 2010 39% 32% 4% 26%

General election results

[2]

General election unofficial results [38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bobby Schilling 104,583 52.58
Democratic Phil Hare 85,454 42.96
Independent Roger K. Davis 8,861 4.46
Total votes 198,898 100

References

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  10. ↑ [1][dead link]
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  14. ↑ [2] Archived October 18, 2010 at the Wayback Machine
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  16. ↑ 16.0 16.1 [3][dead link]
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  20. ↑ [4] Archived January 10, 2010 at the Wayback Machine
  21. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. ↑ [5][dead link]
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  27. ↑ 27.0 27.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  29. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  34. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
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  37. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
  38. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

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