2019 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
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All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 17 seats needed for a majority |
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 1,572,308 ![]() |
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Turnout | 1,091,900 (69.4%)![]() |
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300px Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha
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The 2019 Castilian-Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 33 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
Contents
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Castilian-Manchegan people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 33 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats and the remaining 18 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][3]
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 26 May 2019.[1][3][5]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1]
Parliamentary composition
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were officially dissolved on 2 April 2019, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha.[6] The tables below show the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[7]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 16 | 16 | ||
Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 15 | 15 | ||
We Can Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 2 | 2 |
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][5]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
PP |
List
|
50px | Francisco Núñez | Conservatism Christian democracy |
37.49% | 16 | ![]() |
[8] | |
PSOE |
List
|
50px | Emiliano García-Page | Social democracy | 36.11% | 15 | ![]() |
[9] | |
Podemos– IU–Equo |
List
|
50px | José García Molina | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism |
12.85%[lower-alpha 1] | 2 | ![]() |
[10] [11] |
|
Cs |
List
|
50px | Carmen Picazo | Liberalism | 8.64% | 0 | ![]() |
[12] | |
Vox |
List
|
50px | Daniel Arias Vegas | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism |
0.48% | 0 | ![]() |
[13] |
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PP | ![]() |
Podemos | Cs | IU | Vox | 28px | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | N/A | 69.4 | 28.5 10 |
44.1 19 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.4 4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 7.0 0 |
6.9 0 |
15.6 |
GfK/FORTA[p 1][p 2] | 26 May 2019 | 26,000 | ? | 26.6 8/10 |
43.1 16/18 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 10.4 3/4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 7.7 0/1 |
10.0 2/3 |
16.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 3] | 22–23 May 2019 | ? | ? | 27.3 11 |
35.6 15 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.4 5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.7 1 |
9.5 1 |
8.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 4] | 21–22 May 2019 | ? | ? | 27.8 11 |
35.7 15 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.1 5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.6 1 |
9.4 1 |
7.9 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5] | 20–21 May 2019 | ? | ? | 27.6 11 |
35.4 15 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.2 5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.9 1 |
9.6 1 |
7.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6] | 19–20 May 2019 | ? | ? | 27.7 11 |
35.1 15 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.6 5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.7 1 |
9.7 1 |
7.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 7][p 8][p 9] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 28.1 11/12 |
38.4 15/16 |
[lower-alpha 2] | ? 3/4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | ? 1/2 |
? 1/2 |
10.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 10] | 16–19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 27.7 11 |
35.0 15 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.0 5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.9 1 |
9.6 1 |
7.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 11] | 13–16 May 2019 | ? | ? | 26.9 11 |
33.7 12 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 17.5 7 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 9.1 2 |
9.5 1 |
6.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 12] | 10–13 May 2019 | ? | ? | 25.6 11 |
31.6 12 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 19.8 7 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 10.0 2 |
9.9 1 |
6.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 13] | 7–10 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.5 11 |
31.0 12 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 20.6 7 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 10.6 2 |
10.2 1 |
6.5 |
Numeral8[p 14] | 6–9 May 2019 | 2,000 | ? | 27.1 10/11 |
38.8 15/17 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 13.3 3/4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.7 1/2 |
9.0 1/2 |
11.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 15] | 4–7 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.9 11 |
31.0 12 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 20.8 7 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 10.9 2 |
10.1 1 |
7.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 16] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | ? | ? | 23.6 9 |
30.7 12 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 20.9 7 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.0 4 |
10.2 1 |
7.1 |
April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | N/A | 76.6 | 22.7 8 |
32.4 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 17.5 6 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 15.3 5 |
10.2 1 |
10.7 |
CIS[p 17] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 1,088 | ? | 29.8 11/14 |
40.3 15/18 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.6 2/3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 6.8 0/1 |
10.9 2/3 |
10.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 18] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 27.0 11 |
34.8 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.8 2 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 12.3 5 |
9.9 2 |
7.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 19] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 26.2 10 |
35.0 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 12.2 4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 12.4 5 |
9.8 1 |
8.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 20] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 26.5 10 |
36.0 14 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 12.0 4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 12.0 4 |
9.5 1 |
9.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 21] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 26.6 10 |
34.4 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.1 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 14.4 5 |
9.7 2 |
7.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 22] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 26.1 10 |
33.9 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.7 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 14.3 5 |
9.9 2 |
7.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 23] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 26.3 10 |
33.7 13 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 11.8 3 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 14.0 5 |
9.9 2 |
7.4 |
SW Demoscopia/PSOE[p 24] | 8 Jan 2019 | 2,000 | ? | 26.3 10/11 |
40.3 16/17 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 16.3 4/5 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 8.5 0/1 |
8.6 1/2 |
14.0 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 25] | 14–18 May 2018 | 1,400 | 68.9 | 33.3 13/14 |
32.9 13/14 |
9.9 2 |
15.0 4/5 |
4.2 0 |
– | – | 0.4 |
SyM Consulting[p 26][p 27] | 21–24 Mar 2018 | 3,200 | 73.5 | 32.2 11/14 |
35.0 13/17 |
9.5 1/2 |
14.3 3/4 |
3.4 0 |
– | – | 2.8 |
Celeste-Tel/PSOE[p 28] | 1–22 Mar 2018 | 1,950 | ? | 28.6 11 |
37.2 14/17 |
9.0 1/3 |
16.8 4/6 |
– | – | – | 8.6 |
Noxa/PSOE[p 29][p 30][p 31] | 22–26 May 2017 | 1,000 | ? | 34.3 | 37.9 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 2.2 | – | – | 3.6 |
2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | N/A | 71.8 | 42.7 16 |
27.3 9 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 13.0 4 |
[lower-alpha 2] | 0.2 0 |
14.7 4 |
15.4 |
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | N/A | 75.3 | 38.1 14 |
28.4 11 |
13.7 4 |
13.8 4 |
3.6 0 |
0.3 0 |
– | 9.7 |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | N/A | 71.5 | 37.5 16 |
36.1 15 |
9.7 2 |
8.6 0 |
3.1 0 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.4 |
Results
Overall
Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 476,469 | 44.10 | +7.99 | 19 | +4 | |
People's Party (PP) | 308,184 | 28.53 | –8.96 | 10 | –6 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 122,955 | 11.38 | +2.74 | 4 | +4 | |
Vox (Vox) | 75,813 | 7.02 | +6.54 | 0 | ±0 | |
United We Can–United Left–Equo CLM (Podemos–IU–Equo)1 | 74,777 | 6.92 | –5.93 | 0 | –2 | |
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 8,662 | 0.80 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
Castilian Party–Commoners' Land (PCAS–TC) | 1,411 | 0.13 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 1,248 | 0.12 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
Traditions and Rural World (ANATUR–UDEC) | 1,244 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 728 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Together We Win (JG) | 149 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 8,754 | 0.81 | –0.94 | |||
Total | 1,080,394 | 33 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 1,080,394 | 98.95 | +1.13 | |||
Invalid votes | 11,506 | 1.05 | –1.13 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 1,091,900 | 69.45 | –2.05 | |||
Abstentions | 480,408 | 30.55 | +2.05 | |||
Registered voters | 1,572,308 | |||||
Sources[7][14] | ||||||
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
Footnotes:
|
Distribution by constituency
Constituency | PSOE | PP | Cs | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | |
Albacete | 41.9 | 4 | 29.1 | 2 | 13.2 | 1 |
Ciudad Real | 46.3 | 4 | 28.6 | 2 | 11.3 | 1 |
Cuenca | 46.4 | 3 | 32.8 | 2 | 7.9 | − |
Guadalajara | 39.6 | 3 | 24.3 | 1 | 14.4 | 1 |
Toledo | 44.6 | 5 | 28.3 | 3 | 10.5 | 1 |
Total | 44.1 | 19 | 28.5 | 10 | 11.4 | 4 |
Sources[7][14] |
Aftermath
<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>
Investiture Emiliano García-Page (PSOE) |
||
Ballot → | 3 July 2019 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 17 out of 33 ![]() |
|
Yes
|
19 / 33
|
|
14 / 33
|
||
Abstentions |
0 / 33
|
|
Absentees |
0 / 33
|
|
Sources[7][15] |
Notes
- ↑ Results for Podemos (9.75%, 2 seats) and Let's Win Castilla–La Mancha–The Greens–United Left (3.10%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
- ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.18 2.19 2.20 2.21 2.22 2.23 2.24 2.25 2.26 2.27 2.28 2.29 2.30 2.31 2.32 2.33 2.34 2.35 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.40 2.41 2.42 2.43 2.44 2.45 2.46 2.47 Within Unidas Podemos.
References
- Opinion poll sources
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- Other
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Ley Orgánica 9/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla-La Mancha, Organic Law No. 9 of 10 August 1982 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 Ley 5/1986, de 23 de diciembre, electoral de Castilla-La Mancha, Law No. 5 of 23 December 1986 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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