2014 Texas gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 33.7% (of registered voters) 25.0% (of voting age population)[1] |
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Abbott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.
The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass[2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer.[3] Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage.[4] As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in which Bexar, Harris and Hays counties voted Republican and in which Frio, Jim Wells, and Val Verde counties voted Democratic. Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women.[5]
Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th Governor of Texas.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Abbott, Attorney General of Texas[6]
- Lisa Fritsch, author and radio show host[7]
- Larry Kilgore, perennial candidate[8]
- Miriam Martinez, former Univision personality[9]
Withdrew
- Tom Pauken, former Texas Workforce Commissioner and former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas[10]
Declined
- David Dewhurst, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (ran for re-election and lost the party primary runoff)[11][12]
- Debra Medina, activist and candidate for Governor of Texas in 2010 (running for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[13][14]
- Rick Perry, incumbent governor of Texas[citation needed]
Endorsements
Greg Abbott |
---|
|
Tom Pauken |
---|
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott |
Lisa Fritsch |
Larry Kilgore |
Miriam Martinez |
Tom Pauken |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 519 | ± 5.02% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | — | 42% |
Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 279 | ± 5.87% | 22% | — | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | 74% |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry |
Greg Abbott |
Someone else | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 318 | ± ?% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
44% | — | 39% | 17% | ||||
UoT/Texas Tribune | May 31–June 9, 2013 | 492 | ± 5.27% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 15–24, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.18% | 49% | 17% | — | 31% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | — | 41% | 13% |
41% | 38% | — | 20% | ||||
Burnt Orange Report | May 15–16, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 35% | 7% | 16% |
Results
Republican primary results[19] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Greg Abbott | 1,224,014 | 91.48 | |
Republican | Lisa Fritsch | 59,221 | 4.42 | |
Republican | Miriam Martinez | 35,585 | 2.65 | |
Republican | Larry Kilgore | 19,055 | 1.42 | |
Total votes | 1,337,875 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy Davis, state senator[20][21]
- Ray Madrigal, perennial candidate[22]
Declined
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio[23]
- Kinky Friedman, singer, songwriter, novelist, humorist and independent candidate for governor in 2006 (candidate in May 27 runoff for Texas Commissioner of Agriculture)[24][25]
- Annise Parker, Mayor of Houston[26]
- Mike Villarreal, state representative[27]
- Kirk Watson, state senator and former mayor of Austin[28]
- Bill White, former Mayor of Houston and nominee for governor in 2010[29]
Endorsements
Wendy Davis |
---|
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Wendy Davis |
Ray Madrigal |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 263 | ± 6.04% | 87% | 13% | — | — |
Results
Democratic primary results[33] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Wendy Davis | 432,595 | 78.08 | |
Democratic | Ray Madrigal | 121,419 | 21.91 | |
Total votes | 554,014 | 100 |
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist[34]
- Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer[35]
- Kathie Glass, attorney[36]
- Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate[37]
Withdrew
- Gene Chapman, candidate for President of the United States in 2008[38][39]
- R. Lee Wrights, Vice Chair of the Libertarian National Committee and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[40][41]
Results
Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.[2]
Green nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Brandon Parmer, candidate for Texas's 6th congressional district in 2012[42]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Sarah M. Pavitt, an Army veteran and cousin of former SOCOM commander William H. McRaven, ran as a write-in candidate.[43]
Declined
- Debra Medina, activist and Republican candidate for governor in 2010 (ran unsuccessfully for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[44]
General election
Debates
The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[45] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here.[46] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas."[47] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[48] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[50] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[51] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,987 | ± 3% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 10–19, 2014 | 866 | ± 3.6% | 54% | 38% | 8%[52] | — |
Survey Research Center | September 22–October 16, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | 2%[53] | 17% |
Crosswind Communications | October 9–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.33% | 52% | 31% | 0% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 1–2, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 4,177 | ± 2% | 54% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
Texas Lyceum[permanent dead link] | September 11–25, 2014 | 666 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 40% | 4%[54] | 8% |
Benenson* | September 2–4, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
WPA Opinion Research^ | September 3, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 4,189 | ± 2% | 56% | 38% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 4–5, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,320 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | May 30–June 8, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 44% | 32% | 7%[55] | 17% |
Texas Tech University | April 14–17, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 25% | 6% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | April 10–13, 2014 | 559 | ± 4.1% | 51% | 37% | — | 13% |
Emerson College Archived March 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | March 7–12, 2014 | 494 | ± ? | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 3–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
47% | 37% | 9% | 8% | ||||
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
40% | 35% | 5%[56] | 20% | ||||
Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 798 | ± 3.47% | 29% | 21% | — | 50% |
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
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- With Castro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 36% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
- With Davis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Pauken (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 38% | — | 28% |
33% | 36% | 6% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | — | 13% |
- With Parker
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 31% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
- With White
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 47% | — | 9% |
- * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
- ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott | 2,796,547 | 59.27% | +4.30% | |
Democratic | Wendy Davis | 1,835,596 | 38.90% | -3.40% | |
Libertarian | Kathie Glass | 66,543 | 1.41% | -0.78% | |
Green | Brandon Parmer | 18,520 | 0.39% | 0.00% | |
Independent | Sarah M. Pavitt (write-in) | 1,062 | 0.02% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,718,268 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Falls (Largest city: Marlin)
- Foard (Largest city: Crowell)
- Harris (largest community: Houston)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Trinity (Largest city: Trinity)
See also
- 2014 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas
- 2014 United States Senate election in Texas
- 2014 Texas elections
References
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- ↑ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist169_state.htm 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
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- ↑ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist170_state.htm 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
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- ↑ "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race" – Very Good Citizenship Today, personal blog of Gene Chapman. Published 8 January 2014. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
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- ↑ Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley, staff, Action 4 News, September 19, 2014
- ↑ Texas Governor Debate, KGBT-TV, September 19, 2014
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- ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
- ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
- ↑ Kathie Glass (L)
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